Sunday, November 15, 2009

Rankings through November 14th

No big changes at the top of the RWFL rankings this week.

TCU solidified their position across various p bias values---if you look at the plot below the list of ranks, their win against Utah definitely helps in general, but still leaves them in fourth-place at the selected p=0.75 value posted here. This might help solidify TCU's narrowly-held #4 position in the BCS Standings, since they were already ahead of Cincinnati in both polls and should now do better than before in the computer component. But of course TCU will still be behind Texas in the BCS Standings, since they were already ahead of Texas in the composite of the computers and were still well behind Texas in the Standings.

That is, unless someone loses, we seem to be on course for a championship game between Texas and the winner of the Florida-Alabama "semifinal" SEC Championship game. TCU is on course for an automatic BCS bowl game berth; in contrast, Boise State's relatively weaker strength of schedule continues to leave them later in the discussion. Because of the wrinkles in the rules that only give one automatic BCS bid to the "non-AQ group", Boise State will possibly be hoping for one of the at-large bids, and those at-large bids do not have to follow the BCS Standings, as Boise State learned all too well last year when they watched a lower-rated Ohio State team take the last BCS bid.

2009 Random Walker Rankings (RWFL, p=0.75)
Games through Saturday November 14th:
1. Alabama (10-0) [1.4580]
2. Florida (10-0) [1.3715]
3. Cincinnati (10-0) [1.1665]
4. TCU (10-0) [1.1513]
5. Georgia Tech (10-1) [1.1157]
6. Texas (10-0) [1.0832]
7. Boise St (10-0) [0.9626]
8. Oregon (8-2) [0.9185]
9. Pittsburgh (9-1) [0.8749]
10. Ohio State (9-2) [0.8747]
11. Iowa (9-2) [0.8048]
12. LSU (8-2) [0.7904]
13. Southern Cal (7-3) [0.7818]
14. Virginia Tech (7-3) [0.7656]
15. Miami FL (7-3) [0.7521]
16. Stanford (7-3) [0.7219]
17. Clemson (7-3) [0.7040]
18. Oregon St (7-3) [0.6998]
19. Oklahoma St (8-2) [0.6666]
20. Penn State (9-2) [0.6635]
21. Arizona (6-3) [0.6618]
22. Wisconsin (8-2) [0.6567]
23. North Carolina (7-3) [0.6480]
24. California (7-3) [0.6326]
25. Houston (8-2) [0.6094]
26. Utah (8-2) [0.5507]
27. Boston College (7-3) [0.5498]
28. Georgia (6-4) [0.5491]
29. Arkansas (6-4) [0.5351]
30. Navy (8-3) [0.5326]
31. Rutgers (7-2) [0.5299]
32. Brigham Young (8-2) [0.5200]
33. Mississippi (7-3) [0.5192]
34. Notre Dame (6-4) [0.5182]
35. West Virginia (7-3) [0.5174]
36. South Florida (6-3) [0.5016]
37. Auburn (7-4) [0.4948]
38. Florida St (5-5) [0.4892]
39. South Carolina (6-5) [0.4885]
40. Kentucky (6-4) [0.4662]
41. Nebraska (7-3) [0.4464]
42. Tennessee (5-5) [0.4407]
43. Temple (8-2) [0.4321]
44. Minnesota (6-5) [0.4253]
45. UCLA (5-5) [0.4175]
46. Central Michigan (8-2) [0.4161]
47. Northwestern (7-4) [0.4023]
48. Nevada (7-3) [0.4020]
49. Missouri (6-4) [0.4008]
50. Mississippi St (4-6) [0.4004]
51. Troy (7-3) [0.3978]
52. Washington (3-7) [0.3974]
53. Oklahoma (6-4) [0.3954]
54. Fresno St (6-4) [0.3905]
55. Central Florida (6-4) [0.3814]
56. Texas Tech (6-4) [0.3731]
57. SMU (6-4) [0.3699]
58. Michigan St (6-5) [0.3674]
59. Idaho (7-4) [0.3505]
60. East Carolina (5-4) [0.3505]
61. Air Force (7-4) [0.3443]
62. Wake Forest (4-7) [0.3439]
63. Connecticut (4-5) [0.3345]
64. Purdue (4-7) [0.3231]
65. Virginia (3-7) [0.3212]
66. Arizona St (4-6) [0.3201]
67. Middle Tennessee St (7-3) [0.3143]
68. Duke (5-5) [0.3137]
69. Southern Miss (6-4) [0.3070]
70. Iowa St (6-5) [0.3040]
71. North Carolina St (4-6) [0.2888]
72. Marshall (5-5) [0.2861]
73. Kansas St (6-5) [0.2809]
74. Texas A&M (5-5) [0.2760]
75. Baylor (4-6) [0.2692]
76. Ohio U. (7-3) [0.2686]
77. Northern Illinois (7-3) [0.2680]
78. Louisville (4-6) [0.2678]
79. Kansas (5-5) [0.2672]
80. Wyoming (5-5) [0.2672]
81. Michigan (5-6) [0.2657]
82. Bowling Green (5-5) [0.2629]
83. Syracuse (3-7) [0.2547]
84. Louisiana-Monroe (6-4) [0.2545]
85. Alabama-Birmingham (5-5) [0.2298]
86. Colorado St (3-7) [0.2291]
87. Indiana (4-7) [0.2266]
88. UNLV (4-7) [0.2246]
89. Illinois (3-7) [0.2220]
90. Maryland (2-8) [0.2139]
91. San Diego St (4-6) [0.2120]
92. Colorado (3-7) [0.2109]
93. Washington St (1-9) [0.1993]
94. Tulsa (4-5) [0.1976]
95. UTEP (3-7) [0.1941]
96. Toledo (4-6) [0.1931]
97. Vanderbilt (2-9) [0.1914]
98. Louisiana-Lafayette (5-5) [0.1894]
99. Hawai`i (4-6) [0.1863]
100. Louisiana Tech (3-7) [0.1856]
101. Kent St (5-5) [0.1831]
102. Tulane (3-7) [0.1678]
103. San Jose St (1-8) [0.1599]
104. Western Michigan (5-6) [0.1574]
105. Florida Int'l (3-7) [0.1571]
106. Buffalo (3-7) [0.1481]
107. Utah St (3-7) [0.1453]
108. Florida Atlantic (3-6) [0.1425]
109. New Mexico St (3-7) [0.1328]
110. Army (4-6) [0.1321]
111. Miami OH (1-10) [0.1248]
112. Memphis (2-8) [0.1102]
113. Akron (2-8) [0.1020]
114. North Texas (2-8) [0.0981]
115. Rice (1-9) [0.0951]
116. Arkansas St (2-7) [0.0923]
117. New Mexico (0-10) [0.0460]
118. Ball St (1-9) [0.0344]
119. Eastern Michigan (0-10) [0.0140]
120. Western Kentucky (0-10) [0.0125]
Conference Rankings (Average Per Team):
SEC 0.6421
Pac10 0.5751
BigEast 0.5559
ACC 0.5422
Big10 0.4756
Big12 0.4145
FBSInd 0.3943
MWC 0.3939
WAC 0.3239
CUSA 0.2749
MAC 0.2004
SunBelt 0.1843
Non-FBS -0.0836

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