Monkeys Shock the BCS!

We can use the random walking monkeys to try to rank all 117 Division-IA teams. Again, however, each monkey has only a first-place vote, so it may seem odd to expect any sort of reasonable ranking beyond the top teams. Of course, these rankings are only at a single value of the "coin weighting" or probability of choosing the winner of a game over the loser---results may be very different for different weightings.

2003 Random Walker Rankings (p=0.75)

Pre-Bowl Rankings
Games through Sat. Dec. 6th

Rank	Team (Wins-Losses)	Votes/(Votes for #1)
1	Oklahoma (12-1)	1
2	LSU (12-1)	0.9303
3	Southern Cal (11-1)	0.90485
4	Ohio St (10-2)	0.8904
5	Michigan (10-2)	0.84654
6	Florida St (10-2)	0.80837
7	Texas (10-2)	0.77578
8	Miami FL (10-2)	0.77
9	Miami OH (12-1)	0.74718
10	Tennessee (10-2)	0.73529
11	Iowa (9-3)	0.71002
12	Kansas St (11-3)	0.70789
13	Georgia (10-3)	0.6788
14	Utah (9-2)	0.67325
15	Purdue (9-3)	0.63762
16	Washington St (9-3)	0.61288
17	Florida (8-4)	0.60764
18	Nebraska (9-3)	0.59384
19	TCU (11-1)	0.58351
20	Oklahoma St (9-3)	0.57396
21	Mississippi (9-3)	0.572
22	Oregon (8-4)	0.56282
23	Boise St (12-1)	0.55876
24	Maryland (9-3)	0.55329
25	Bowling Green (10-3)	0.54021
26	Arkansas (8-4)	0.51691
27	Michigan St (8-4)	0.51531
28	Southern Miss (9-3)	0.49858
29	Minnesota (9-3)	0.49375
30	Clemson (8-4)	0.49174
31	Wisconsin (7-5)	0.4758
32	California (7-6)	0.46028
33	Northern Illinois (10-2)	0.45956
34	Missouri (8-4)	0.45686
35	Auburn (7-5)	0.45428
36	Texas Tech (7-5)	0.45364
37	New Mexico (8-4)	0.4424
38	North Carolina St (7-5)	0.44044
39	Virginia Tech (8-4)	0.43871
40	Pittsburgh (8-4)	0.42966
41	West Virginia (8-4)	0.42855
42	Colorado St (7-5)	0.41586
43	Oregon St (7-5)	0.41339
44	Washington (6-6)	0.40399
45	Virginia (7-5)	0.395
46	Notre Dame (5-7)	0.38909
47	Georgia Tech (6-6)	0.3874
48	UCLA (6-6)	0.38673
49	Marshall (8-4)	0.38366
50	Colorado (5-7)	0.37546
51	Toledo (8-4)	0.37446
52	Memphis (8-4)	0.37332
53	Boston College (7-5)	0.37267
54	Northwestern (6-6)	0.3671
55	UNLV (6-6)	0.36145
56	Connecticut (9-3)	0.35602
57	Louisville (9-3)	0.35465
58	North Texas (9-3)	0.3531
59	Fresno St (8-5)	0.34649
60	Air Force (7-5)	0.34601
61	Kansas (6-6)	0.32257
62	Wake Forest (5-7)	0.32062
63	Texas A&M (4-8)	0.31597
64	Hawai`i (8-5)	0.31291
65	South Carolina (5-7)	0.31169
66	South Florida (7-4)	0.31144
67	Syracuse (6-6)	0.30891
68	Tulsa (8-4)	0.30745
69	Alabama (4-9)	0.29977
70	Brigham Young (4-8)	0.29478
71	Houston (7-5)	0.29245
72	San Diego St (6-6)	0.29187
73	Arizona St (5-7)	0.28854
74	Navy (8-4)	0.28625
75	Stanford (4-7)	0.28378
76	Nevada (6-6)	0.27176
77	Louisiana Tech (5-7)	0.26728
78	Troy St (6-6)	0.25615
79	Alabama-Birmingham (5-7)	0.25089
80	Duke (4-8)	0.24272
81	Rutgers (5-7)	0.2372
82	Wyoming (4-8)	0.23285
83	Arizona (2-10)	0.22885
84	Akron (7-5)	0.22605
85	Cincinnati (5-7)	0.22481
86	Baylor (3-9)	0.21973
87	Penn St (3-9)	0.21941
88	Tulane (5-7)	0.21432
89	Ball St (4-8)	0.21039
90	Iowa St (2-10)	0.20654
91	Western Michigan (5-7)	0.20349
92	Rice (5-7)	0.20329
93	Mississippi St (2-10)	0.20127
94	Kentucky (4-8)	0.19963
95	Kent St (5-7)	0.19698
96	Indiana (2-10)	0.18206
97	Vanderbilt (2-10)	0.181
98	North Carolina (2-10)	0.17908
99	Illinois (1-11)	0.17374
100	Middle Tennessee St (4-8)	0.16461
101	Louisiana-Lafayette (4-8)	0.16393
102	Arkansas St (5-7)	0.15935
103	Central Michigan (3-9)	0.14906
104	Utah St (3-9)	0.14756
105	San Jose St (3-8)	0.14571
106	Eastern Michigan (3-9)	0.14481
107	New Mexico St (3-9)	0.14265
108	Central Florida (3-9)	0.14019
109	Temple (1-11)	0.12951
110	Idaho (3-9)	0.12934
111	Buffalo (1-11)	0.1275
112	Ohio U. (2-10)	0.12625
113	East Carolina (1-11)	0.12552
114	Louisiana-Monroe (1-11)	0.11431
115	SMU (0-12)	0.11227
116	UTEP (2-11)	0.11012
117	Army (0-13)	0.099897

Post-Bowl Rankings
Games through Sun. Jan. 4th

Rank	Team (Wins-Losses)	Votes/(Votes for #1)
1	LSU (13-1)	1
2	Southern Cal (12-1)	0.95699
3	Ohio St (11-2)	0.84716
4	Miami FL (11-2)	0.76566
5	Oklahoma (12-2)	0.73722
6	Georgia (11-3)	0.70556
7	Florida St (10-3)	0.70122
8	Michigan (10-3)	0.68332
9	Miami OH (13-1)	0.6816
10	Iowa (10-3)	0.67906
11	Utah (10-2)	0.63518
12	Washington St (10-3)	0.62182
13	Tennessee (10-3)	0.61787
14	Mississippi (10-3)	0.58574
15	Boise St (13-1)	0.58001
16	Texas (10-3)	0.56972
17	Maryland (10-3)	0.56589
18	Florida (8-5)	0.55003
19	Kansas St (11-4)	0.54309
20	Clemson (9-4)	0.53933
21	Purdue (9-4)	0.52701
22	Nebraska (10-3)	0.52214
23	Bowling Green (11-3)	0.50528
24	Arkansas (9-4)	0.48885
25	Minnesota (10-3)	0.47986
26	Oregon (8-5)	0.47473
27	Auburn (8-5)	0.46622
28	California (8-6)	0.456
29	TCU (11-2)	0.44699
30	North Carolina St (8-5)	0.4416
31	Oregon St (8-5)	0.43469
32	Michigan St (8-5)	0.43297
33	Oklahoma St (9-4)	0.42881
34	Northern Illinois (10-2)	0.42606
35	Virginia (8-5)	0.40561
36	Georgia Tech (7-6)	0.40255
37	Southern Miss (9-4)	0.39872
38	Texas Tech (8-5)	0.39832
39	Wisconsin (7-6)	0.3948
40	Washington (6-6)	0.38825
41	Virginia Tech (8-5)	0.37191
42	Boston College (8-5)	0.36662
43	New Mexico (8-5)	0.36658
44	West Virginia (8-5)	0.36102
45	Memphis (9-4)	0.35773
46	Missouri (8-5)	0.35718
47	Notre Dame (5-7)	0.3546
48	Pittsburgh (8-5)	0.35435
49	Colorado St (7-6)	0.3517
50	Fresno St (9-5)	0.34753
51	Toledo (8-4)	0.33316
52	UCLA (6-7)	0.33204
53	Marshall (8-4)	0.32935
54	Connecticut (9-3)	0.32662
55	UNLV (6-6)	0.3206
56	Hawai`i (9-5)	0.31583
57	Wake Forest (5-7)	0.31448
58	Colorado (5-7)	0.31142
59	Northwestern (6-7)	0.30359
60	South Carolina (5-7)	0.30214
61	Air Force (7-5)	0.30028
62	Louisville (9-4)	0.29691
63	Syracuse (6-6)	0.28189
64	North Texas (9-4)	0.28031
65	Brigham Young (4-8)	0.27531
66	Alabama (4-9)	0.27341
67	Arizona St (5-7)	0.27256
68	Tulsa (8-5)	0.27231
69	South Florida (7-4)	0.27163
70	Stanford (4-7)	0.26962
71	Texas A&M (4-8)	0.26325
72	San Diego St (6-6)	0.26169
73	Nevada (6-6)	0.25587
74	Kansas (6-7)	0.25359
75	Louisiana Tech (5-7)	0.25272
76	Navy (8-5)	0.23546
77	Houston (7-6)	0.23398
78	Duke (4-8)	0.23229
79	Troy St (6-6)	0.22685
80	Alabama-Birmingham (5-7)	0.22114
81	Arizona (2-10)	0.21868
82	Rutgers (5-7)	0.21105
83	Wyoming (4-8)	0.20596
84	Akron (7-5)	0.20232
85	Penn St (3-9)	0.19727
86	Cincinnati (5-7)	0.19393
87	Mississippi St (2-10)	0.19014
88	Ball St (4-8)	0.18841
89	Western Michigan (5-7)	0.18474
90	Kentucky (4-8)	0.18367
91	Rice (5-7)	0.1829
92	Tulane (5-7)	0.18106
93	Kent St (5-7)	0.17679
94	Baylor (3-9)	0.17564
95	North Carolina (2-10)	0.1724
96	Iowa St (2-10)	0.17133
97	Vanderbilt (2-10)	0.16858
98	Indiana (2-10)	0.1614
99	Middle Tennessee St (4-8)	0.15178
100	Illinois (1-11)	0.15142
101	Arkansas St (5-7)	0.14607
102	Louisiana-Lafayette (4-8)	0.14374
103	San Jose St (3-8)	0.13792
104	Utah St (3-9)	0.13269
105	Eastern Michigan (3-9)	0.13262
106	Central Michigan (3-9)	0.1321
107	New Mexico St (3-9)	0.12575
108	Central Florida (3-9)	0.12459
109	Idaho (3-9)	0.1215
110	Temple (1-11)	0.11675
111	Buffalo (1-11)	0.11612
112	Ohio U. (2-10)	0.11458
113	East Carolina (1-11)	0.11191
114	Louisiana-Monroe (1-11)	0.11011
115	UTEP (2-11)	0.10342
116	SMU (0-12)	0.099513
117	Army (0-13)	0.085815

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