Sunday, November 30, 2008

Breakin' the tie...

We don't have much to add to what we said last week. All eyes will be watching how this week's BCS Standings break the Big 12 South division tie. Using our own random walker rankings as an imperfect stand-in for what the group of computer systems will do, it appears that Oklahoma should pick up ground on Texas in the computers this week. Importantly, Oklahoma led Texas in both polls last week, but ended up far enough behind Texas in the computers to be behind Texas in the Standings (an average of the three). We'd guess that Oklahoma will gain enough ground in the computers, between their win over highly-ranked Oklahoma State and the follow-on effects of Kansas beating Missouri, that they will close the gap with Texas in the computers. So, quite simply, it might end up to the selections of the pollsters; if they stay consistent from last week, Oklahoma will go to the Big 12 Championship, but if they change their collective minds, it could still be Texas. We'll find out soon enough, and then we'll argue about it for at least a week (if not longer)... Boise State's slimmest of hopes for a BCS bowl remain alive, but still slim. As discussed last week, it first hinges on the last at-large bid, which might still be up for grabs if USC wins the Pac-10 by beating UCLA next week. If that happens, it should come down to a bowl game selection between Boise State and Ohio State...